Hidden semi-Markov-switching quantile regression for time series

نویسندگان

چکیده

A hidden semi-Markov-switching quantile regression model is introduced as an extension of the Markov-switching one. The proposed allows for arbitrary sojourn-time distributions in states chain. Parameters estimation carried out via maximum likelihood method using Asymmetric Laplace distribution. As a by product specification, formulae and methods forecasting, state prediction, decoding checking that exist ordinary models can be applied to model. simulation study investigate behaviour performed covering several experimental settings. empirical analysis studies relationship between stock index from emerging market China those advanced markets, investigates determinants high levels pollution Italian small city.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Computational Statistics & Data Analysis

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['0167-9473', '1872-7352']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2021.107208